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ECB's Muller: Rates no longer a constraint on economic activity

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Madis Muller explained on Friday that their decision to cut key rates by 25 basis points at the April policy meeting was supported by the drop in energy prices, and tariffs.

Muller further added that policy rates are no longer a constraint on the Eurozone's economic activity, adding that the ECB's key indicators are moving in the right direction. Finally, he argued that a more fragmented world economy can push up prices.

Market reaction

EUR/USD showed no immediate reaction to these comments and was last seen trading virtually unchanged on the day at 1.1368.

ECB FAQs

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region. The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro. QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.

Italy Global Trade Balance came in at €4.466B, above forecasts (€3.31B) in February

Italy Global Trade Balance came in at €4.466B, above forecasts (€3.31B) in February
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Italy Trade Balance EU declined to €-361B in February from previous €-0.635B

Italy Trade Balance EU declined to €-361B in February from previous €-0.635B
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